v1.0 | April 2026
SHOCK | Mechanistic Mapping and Phenotype Prediction
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Copyright © 2026 Prof. Jyotirmay Kirtania, MPMMCC and HBCH, Tata Memorial Centre, Varanasi, HBNI, India. Licensed under the GNU GPL v3.0
Shock is DO2/VO2 mismatch | Shock ≠ Hypotension, although hypotension is often present during shock
Shock = inadequate oxygen delivery (DO₂) or utilisation (VO₂) relative to cellular metabolic demand, leading to cellular energy failure. MAP may be low, normal, or high at presentation. A normal or elevated BP does not exclude shock. Tissue hypoperfusion must be sought independently of haemodynamics.
IS SHOCK PRESENT?
Shock is confirmed when any 2 of the following 3 categories are positive. Category A (clinical hypoperfusion) + Category B (metabolic evidence) = cryptic / compensated shock — requires intervention even when Category C (haemodynamics) is normal. The classic teaching that shock = hypotension is a harmful oversimplification.

CATEGORY A — Clinical Hypoperfusion (any 1)

  • CRT > 2 s (central sternum preferred)
  • Core–periphery gradient > 4°C
  • Mottling score ≥ 2 (Ait-Oufella)
  • Altered consciousness (agitation, confusion, obtundation)
  • Oliguria < 0.5 mL/kg/hr
  • Cold, pale, clammy skin (vasoconstricted phenotype)
  • Small SpO₂ waveform / ↓PPI

CATEGORY B — Metabolic Evidence (any 1)

  • Lactate > 2 mmol/L (regardless of BP)
  • Lactate > 4 mmol/L = overt shock; same mortality as hypotensive shock
  • Base excess < −4 mEq/L
  • ScvO₂ < 65% (CVC, not PA catheter)
  • Rising lactate trend despite resuscitation (clearance <10%/2h)
  • pH < 7.35 + metabolic component

CATEGORY C — Haemodynamic Instability (any 1)

  • MAP < 65 mmHg (absolute)
  • MAP fall > 15–20% from patient baseline (relative hypotension)
  • HR > 100 bpm (sustained, unexplained)
  • Pulse pressure < 25 mmHg
  • ETCO₂ < 30 mmHg (intubated, no resp alkalosis)
  • Vasopressor dependence to maintain MAP ≥ 65
THE SHOCK SPECTRUM — Normal or High BP does NOT exclude shock
Pre-shock
Normal vitals
Mild ↑lactate
Compensated
Normal MAP
↑SVR, ↑HR
Cryptic
Normal MAP
Lactate >4
Decompensated
↓MAP, organ failure
↑↑lactate
Irreversible
Refractory
Cardiac arrest
Why MAP can be normal or high in shock:
① Compensated: Young patient with ↑SVR + ↑HR maintaining BP while CO falls; Class II haemorrhage (750–1500 mL) — normal BP, tachycardia only.
② Relative hypotension: Hypertensive patient (baseline MAP 100 mmHg) with MAP 72 — clinically hypotensive despite "normal" value.
③ Cryptic septic shock: Seymour et al. (2012): ~28% of septic shock patients had initial MAP ≥ 65. Lactate > 4 with normal BP = identical 28-day mortality to hypotensive sepsis (Jones et al., 2010).
④ Early distributive: High CO with ↓SVR + ↓viscosity can maintain MAP until compensation exhausted; lactate rises before MAP falls.
⑤ Pressor-dependent normotension: Normal MAP exists only because of vasopressors — vasopressor requirement = shock by definition.
PARAMETERS REVIEW
Parameters
✓ History & Context
Surgical, cardiac, septic, anaphylactic, neuraxial, PE risk, spine injury triggers
✓ CRT (Capillary Refill Time)
Central (sternal) preferred. >2 s = abnormal. ANDROMEDA-SHOCK endpoint.
✓ SpO₂ Waveform / PPI
Plethysmograph amplitude and variability; reflects perfusion index and SV
✓ MAP Trend
Absolute value AND trend from patient baseline; relative hypotension matters
✓ Core–Periphery Temperature Gradient
>4°C = vasoconstricted; <2°C = vasodilated. Forehead vs fingertip.
✓ POCUS
RUSH exam (Pump / Tank / Pipes) — see Tab 04 for full protocol
✓ ABG (incl. lactate, pH, BE, Hb, PaO₂, PaCO₂)
Metabolic evidence of shock; lactate is primary. Hb for rheological ↓SVR.
✓ PPV (when criteria met)
Valid only under strict conditions — see Fluids tab checklist
✓ Passive Leg Raise (PLR) ★ MOST IMPORTANT ADDITION
Superior to PPV: valid in spontaneous breathing, arrhythmias, ARDS. AUC 0.95. Reversible. Assess at 60–90 s.
✓ Lactate / Lactate Clearance (explicit)
Cornerstone of shock identification. >2 = occult shock. Clearance <10%/2h = failure to resuscitate.
✓ Mottling Score (distinct from CRT)
Grade 0–5. Score ≥3 = independent predictor of 14-day mortality (Ait-Oufella, CCM 2011).
✓ ECG
Essential for cardiogenic differentiation: STEMI, RV strain (S1Q3T3/new RBBB in PE), bradyarrhythmia (neurogenic).
✓ Urine Output
Renal end-organ perfusion. <0.5 mL/kg/hr = oliguria. <0.2 = severe. Part of SOFA organ failure scoring.
✓ ETCO₂ (if ventilated)
Low ETCO₂ (esp. sudden fall) reflects ↓pulmonary blood flow (↓CO or massive PE). Inversely correlates with dead space.
✓ ScvO₂ (if CVC — no SwanGanz needed)
<65% = ↑O₂ extraction (↓DO₂ or ↑VO₂). >75% = ↓O₂ utilisation (distributive/septic). ~5% higher than mixed SvO₂.
✓ Auscultation (S3/S4, bilateral crepitations, absent BS)
S3 = cardiogenic. Bilateral crepitations = pulmonary oedema. Absent unilateral breath sounds = tension PTX.
Phenotype Prediction: Select the clinical finding most closely matching your patient for each parameter. The calculator applies a weighted evidence-based scoring matrix to estimate phenotype likelihood. Mixed shock is common — scores within 4 points of the leader are flagged. Clinical gestalt always supersedes.
Phenotype Probability
Interpretation
Select findings to generate phenotype prediction.
Phenotype Legend
H — Hypovolaemic
C — Cardiogenic
D — Distributive / Vasodilatory
O — Obstructive
N — Neurogenic / Vasodilatory-bradycardic
PHENOTYPE RAPID REFERENCE TABLE — All parameters by phenotype
Parameter Hypovolaemic Cardiogenic Distributive Obstructive Neurogenic
Heart Rate↑↑↑/N/↓*↑↑↑↑↓↓ (bradycardia)
MAP↓↓↓↓N → ↓↓↓
Pulse Pressure↓↓ (narrow)↓↓↑↑ (wide)Wide (NE absent)
CRT>3 s>3 s<2 s (warm)>3 s<2 s (warm)
Skin tempCold, pale, clammyCold, clammyWarm, flushedCold (PE) / variesWarm, dry
Core–periph gradient>6°C>6°C<2°C>4°C (PE)<2°C
Mottling score2–52–50–11–30–1
SpO₂ waveform / PPISmall, low ampSmall, low ampLarge, boundingVariableNormal/large
PPV (if valid)>13% (responsive)<9%Often >13% early<9% (PE/tampo)Variable
PLR responsePositive (>10%)NegativeOften positiveNegativeVariable
POCUS LVSmall, hyperdynamicDilated, ↓↓ EFNormal/hyperdynamicNormal / compressed (tampo)Normal
POCUS RVNormal/smallN / dilated (RV MI)NormalDilated (>1.0 RV:LV) McConnellNormal
POCUS IVCCollapsed, >50% varDistended, flatCollapsible (early)Distended flat (PE/tampo)Variable
POCUS LungA-linesB-lines bilateralA-lines (sepsis)Absent sliding (PTX) / A-lines (PE)A-lines
POCUS FAST+ve (haemorrhage)NegativeNegativePericardial effusion (tampo)Negative
Lactate↑↑ (Type A)↑↑ (Type A)↑ (A+B)↑ (Type A)N initially
Base excess<–6<–6–4 to –8<–6Normal
ScvO₂<65%<65%>75%<65%Normal
ETCO₂ (ventilated)↓ (↓CO)↓ (↓CO)N / ↑ (↑CO)↓↓ sudden fall (PE)Normal
ECGSinus tachySTEMI/new LBBB/STdepSinus tachyS1Q3T3/RBBB (PE)Brady/AV block
Urine outputOliguria/anuriaOliguria/anuriaOliguria (late)OliguriaOften preserved
JVP / CVP↓↓ Flat↑↑ ElevatedN / ↓↑↑ ElevatedNormal/↓
AuscultationClear / quietS3, bilateral crepsClear or focally infectedAbsent BS (PTX) / normal (PE/tampo)Clear
* ↓HR in cardiogenic = RV infarction + high neuraxial block / associated bradyarrhythmia. BS = breath sounds. Tampo = tamponade. PTX = pneumothorax.
Core principle: Fluid responsiveness = ↑CO >10–15% in response to ↑preload. ~50% of haemodynamically unstable ICU patients are NOT fluid-responsive. Indiscriminate fluid loading in non-responsive patients causes harm (lung oedema, abdominal hypertension, dilutional coagulopathy). Always assess responsiveness before giving fluid.
PPV — VALIDITY CRITERIA CHECKLIST (ALL must be met)
PPV measures respiratory variation in arterial pulse pressure. It is only valid as a fluid responsiveness predictor when all 8 criteria are satisfied. Even one unmet criterion invalidates the measurement. When criteria are not met, use PLR instead.
⚠ PPV INVALID — Not all criteria met. Use Passive Leg Raise.
PPV Thresholds (when valid): <9% = non-responsive  |  9–13% = grey zone  |  >13% = fluid-responsive (Sens 88%, Spec 90%; Marik et al. meta-analysis, CCM 2009)
PASSIVE LEG RAISE (PLR) — Preferred universally applicable test
PLR recruits ~300 mL of venous blood from the lower limbs — a reversible autotransfusion. Unlike PPV, it is valid in spontaneous breathing, arrhythmias, low Vt ventilation (ARDS), and right heart failure. Superiority: AUC 0.95 (Monnet et al. meta-analysis, CCM 2016). Measure CO response (LVOT VTI by POCUS or pulse pressure) at 60–90 seconds — the effect is maximal and transient.
01
Starting position: Patient semi-recumbent at 45° Note baseline: measure LVOT VTI (POCUS), or pulse pressure on arterial line, or MAP. Record all three if available.
02
Manoeuvre: Lower head to flat + raise legs to 45° Do this in one smooth movement (tilt the bed or manually). Both components are necessary. Head-down alone is insufficient. Start timer
03
Measure at 60–90 secondsPeak effect Reassess LVOT VTI by POCUS (preferred), or pulse pressure (arterial line), or MAP. Real-time continuous CO monitoring ideal but not required.
04
Interpret: Positive = ↑CO or ↑PP > 10% Positive PLR → fluid-responsive → consider fluid challenge 250 mL crystalloid with reassessment. Negative → fluid loading unlikely to improve CO; consider vasopressors / inotropes.
05
Return to semi-recumbent position Haemodynamic effect is fully reversible — no fluid commitment. This is the critical advantage over a fixed fluid challenge.
PLR Limitations: Intra-abdominal hypertension (IAP >12) impairs venous return augmentation from legs. Lower limb compartment syndrome / vascular obstruction. Active haemorrhage (legs may be exsanguinated). Head trauma (avoid head-flat position).
PPVPLR
Spontaneous breathing❌ Invalidates✓ Valid
Cardiac arrhythmia (AF/ectopics)❌ Invalidates✓ Valid
Low Vt ventilation (ARDS, ≤6 mL/kg)❌ Invalidates✓ Valid
Right heart failure❌ Invalidates✓ Valid
Open chest / sternotomy❌ Invalidates✓ Valid
No arterial line❌ Not measurable✓ POCUS VTI or PP
Fluid commitment requiredNoneNone (reversible)
EquipmentArterial line requiredPOCUS (preferred) or CW Doppler
Evidence AUC0.94 (when valid)0.95 (universal)
RUSH Exam: Rapid Ultrasound in Shock and Hypotension (Perera et al., J Emerg Med 2010). Systematic 3-domain assessment — Pump, Tank, Pipes — integrates cardiac, volume, and vascular findings to narrow phenotype. Target completion <3 minutes at bedside.
PUMP — Cardiac
Views: Subcostal 4-chamber (quickest in ICU/OT), Parasternal long/short, Apical 4-chamber. Assess pericardium, LV size/function, RV size/function.
Pericardial effusion + RA/RV diastolic collapse O
Tamponade. Confirm IVC distension (flat IVC). RA collapse first (sensitive), RV collapse specific. Pulsus paradoxus >10 mmHg.
LV small, hypercontractile — "kissing walls" H
Hypovolaemia. Severely underfilled LV. EF appears very high. IVC collapsed. Correlates with ↓LVEDV.
LV dilated, globally reduced function (EF <30%) C
Cardiogenic shock. Regional wall motion abnormality → ischaemic aetiology. Global = dilated CMP or myocarditis. IVC distended.
LV hyperdynamic (EF >65-70%), normal size D
Distributive / high-output (sepsis, anaphylaxis, early distributive). High CO, low SVR. LV ejecting vigorously with ↓afterload.
RV dilation (RV:LV ratio >1.0 in apical 4C) O
Acute cor pulmonale. PE (most common cause), tension PTX, ARDS. Septal D-sign in PLAX: LV compressed. ↑RV:LV = severe.
McConnell sign (RV free wall hypokinesis, apex contracts) O
Highly specific for acute PE (Sp ~94%). RCA perfusion cut off by obstructed RV outflow → free wall ischaemia. Apex spared (LV dragging effect).
TANK — Volume Status
IVC view (subcostal long axis), Lung zones (2–4 per side: anterior, lateral), FAST (Morrison's, splenorenal, suprapubic, subxiphoid).
IVC collapsed <1.5 cm + >50% inspiratory variation HD
Low RAP / hypovolaemia. Fluid-responsive state likely. Note: spontaneous breathing increases IVC variation (sniff test) — less reliable than PPV on controlled MV.
IVC distended >2.1 cm + <50% variation (flat IVC) CO
Elevated RAP (cardiogenic, tamponade, PE, tension PTX). Fluid loading will not improve CO; likely harmful. Tamponade: also see pericardial effusion + RA collapse.
Bilateral B-lines ≥3 per zone in ≥2 bilateral zones C
Interstitial-alveolar pulmonary oedema (cardiogenic most common). B-lines arise from thickened subpleural septa (Kerley B equivalent). Bilateral = high LV filling pressure.
Absent lung sliding (with A-lines) O
Pneumothorax until proven otherwise. Confirm with absent "seashore sign" on M-mode ("barcode sign"). Check contralateral for comparison. Tension PTX = haemodynamic collapse + absent sliding.
Free fluid in FAST windows H
Haemoperitoneum (abdominal trauma, ruptured viscus, surgical bleeding) or haemothorax. Positive FAST in haemodynamic instability = immediate surgical consult. Hepatorenal space most sensitive (Morrison's pouch).
Bilateral pleural effusions C
Cardiogenic oedema (often bilateral, dependent). Distinguish from haemothorax by homogeneous vs complex appearance and clinical context.
PIPES — Vascular
Aorta (parasternal long, mid/lower abdominal), DVT (femoral + popliteal compression), carotid/jugular if needed.
Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) >3 cm H
Ruptured AAA: haemodynamic collapse + pulsatile mass + AAA on POCUS. Do not delay surgical transfer for formal CT in haemodynamically unstable patient.
Non-compressible femoral / popliteal vein O
DVT — raises PE probability in context of acute haemodynamic collapse. Leg vein compression (2-point) adds significantly to POCUS PE diagnosis. Absence of DVT does not exclude PE.
LVOT VTI assessment for PLR / fluid challenge response
Apical 5-chamber view + PW Doppler at LVOT. VTI = velocity-time integral = stroke volume surrogate. ↑VTI >10-15% with PLR = fluid-responsive. Requires practice but no SwanGanz.
Distended, non-pulsatile jugular veins CO
Elevated venous pressure → cardiogenic or obstructive (PE, tamponade, tension PTX). Combined with low MAP, elevated JVP = obstructive phenotype until proven otherwise.
POCUS PHENOTYPE DECISION PATHWAY
Hypovolaemic pattern:
LV small + hyperdynamic · IVC collapsed · A-lines · FAST+ or negative · No effusion · Cold skin
Cardiogenic pattern:
LV dilated + ↓EF · IVC flat · Bilateral B-lines · ± Bilateral pleural effusion · Elevated JVP · Cold skin
Distributive pattern:
LV hyperdynamic · IVC variable/collapsible · A-lines · Warm skin · Wide PP · ↑ScvO₂
Obstructive pattern:
RV dilated (McConnell for PE) · IVC flat · Pericardial effusion + RA collapse (tamponade) · Absent sliding (PTX) · Elevated JVP
Neurogenic pattern:
Normal POCUS · Bradycardia + warm skin · Low MAP · Normal IVC variability · History of spinal / high neuraxial block
Evidence basis: All diagnostic parameters, thresholds, and management recommendations in this tool are referenced to landmark trials and systematic reviews. Key trials are listed below. Where evidence is inferential or extrapolated, this is noted.
LANDMARK TRIALS & EVIDENCE
Trial / StudyFindingClinical Implication
ANDROMEDA-SHOCKHernandez et al. JAMA 2019;321:654 CRT-guided resuscitation non-inferior to lactate-guided for 28-day mortality in septic shock. CRT arm: fewer organ dysfunction events. CRT is a validated resuscitation endpoint. CRT normalisation ≤2 s is a clinically meaningful target, not merely a triage sign.
Cryptic Septic ShockSeymour et al. Crit Care Med 2012;40:2012 ~28% of septic shock patients had initial MAP ≥65 mmHg. Lactate >4 with normal BP had similar 28-day mortality to hypotensive septic shock. Normal BP does not exclude septic shock. Lactate must be checked in all suspected shock patients regardless of MAP.
Jones et al. (Lactate)Jones AE et al. JAMA 2010;303:739 Lactate clearance ≥10% over 2 hours non-inferior to ScvO₂-guided resuscitation as a resuscitation target. Serial lactate measurement is the primary metabolic resuscitation endpoint. Single value less important than trend.
PLR Meta-analysisMonnet X et al. CCM 2016;44:981 PLR AUC 0.95 for predicting fluid responsiveness across all ventilation modes and arrhythmias. Sensitivity 85%, specificity 91%. PLR is the most universally applicable fluid responsiveness test. Preferred over PPV in most perioperative settings.
PPV Meta-analysisMarik PE et al. CCM 2009;37:2642 PPV >13%: Sensitivity 88%, Specificity 90% for fluid responsiveness when strict criteria met. AUC 0.94. PPV is highly accurate only when all validity criteria are satisfied. Below-threshold Vt, spontaneous breathing, or arrhythmia invalidates it.
Mottling ScoreAit-Oufella H et al. CCM 2011;39:1563 Mottling score ≥3 at 6 h was an independent predictor of 14-day ICU mortality in septic shock (OR 4.1, p<0.001). Mottling score is a validated prognostic marker distinct from CRT. Serial assessment reflects peripheral perfusion trajectory.
RUSH Exam ValidationPerera P et al. J Emerg Med 2010;38:100 Systematic RUSH exam (Pump/Tank/Pipes) narrows shock aetiology in <3 minutes at bedside with high inter-rater reliability after brief training. POCUS is the most information-dense single investigation at the bedside for shock phenotyping without invasive monitoring.
McConnell SignMcConnell MV et al. Am J Cardiol 1996;78:469 RV free wall hypokinesis with apical sparing (McConnell sign): Specificity 94%, PPV 71% for acute PE. McConnell sign is the most specific POCUS finding for acute PE-mediated RV failure. Absent in chronic cor pulmonale.
IVC CollapsibilityFeissel M et al. Chest 2004;125:1562 IVC collapsibility index >18% in MV patients predicted fluid responsiveness (AUC 0.93) when Vt ≥8 mL/kg. Less reliable in spontaneous breathing. IVC collapsibility supplements but does not replace PPV/PLR. Limitations identical to PPV regarding ventilation mode.
BCIS ClassificationDonaldson AJ et al. BJA 2009;102:12 Bone Cement Implantation Syndrome Grade 3 (cardiac arrest) mortality 15-fold higher than Grade 1. Mechanism: fat/monomer embolism → acute ↑PVR + ↓SVR. BCIS is a recognisable obstructive-distributive mixed shock phenotype with specific intraoperative triggers and risk mitigation strategies.
Viscosity & SVR (HP)Messmer K et al. Eur Surg Res 1972;4:56 & Hagen-Poiseuille law SVR ∝ η (blood viscosity) per Hagen-Poiseuille. Isovolaemic haemodilution to Hct 20-25% measurably reduces SVR and PVR; compensatory CO rise may be insufficient → high-output hypotension. Severe anaemia (Hb <7 g/dL) causes rheological ↓SVR → hypotension despite normal/high CO. Red cell transfusion, not vasopressors, corrects the mechanism.
Surviving Sepsis Campaign 2026Prescott HC et al. CCM 2026;54(4):725-812. Defined septic shock as sepsis + vasopressor requirement to maintain MAP ≥65 + lactate >2 despite adequate fluid resuscitation. MAP-alone criterion explicitly insufficient. Lactate + vasopressor requirement = formal definition of septic shock. Supports BP-independent shock recognition framework.
Mechanistic Model — MAP = CO × SVR  |  CO = HR × SV  |  SV = f(Preload, Contractility, Afterload)
Every cause of hypotension and shock reduces MAP through one or more of 11 physiological determinants listed below — common to rare, intraoperative and postoperative. Each section is collapsible.
COMMON
UNCOMMON
RARE
INTRA Intraoperative
POST Postoperative
BOTH Both
ONCO Oncosurgery-specific
MAP = CO × SVR CO = HR × SV SV ← Preload · Contractility · Afterload (LV) RV SV ← Preload · Contractility · Afterload (RV = PVR) Modulators: pH · PaCO₂ · PaO₂ · Temperature · Viscosity (η)

▸ Integrative Map of Shock Phenotypes — Haemodynamic Fingerprints

HYPOVOLAEMIC

  • Haemorrhage · third spacing · burns
  • Adrenal crisis (salt-wasting)
  • Diabetes insipidus · GI losses
  • Aortocaval compression
HR ↑↑ CO ↓↓ SVR ↑↑ CVP PCWP SvO₂

CARDIOGENIC

  • Acute MI · cardiomyopathy
  • Volatile agent excess · Local Anaesthetic Toxicity (LAST)
  • Severe acidaemia · hypothermia
  • Tamponade · constrictive physiology
HR ↑/N CO ↓↓ SVR ↑↑ CVP PCWP ↑↑ SvO₂ ↓↓

DISTRIBUTIVE / VASODILATORY

  • Sepsis · SIRS · anaphylaxis
  • Neuraxial / GA induction
  • Adrenal crisis · hepatic failure
  • ↓Viscosity (high-output hypotension)
HR ↑↑ CO ↑/N SVR ↓↓ CVP ↓/N PCWP ↓/N SvO₂

OBSTRUCTIVE

  • Massive PE · tension pneumothorax
  • Cardiac tamponade
  • Auto-PEEP · air embolism · Bone Cement Implantation Syndrome (BCIS)
  • Protamine Type III
HR ↑↑ CO ↓↓ SVR ↑↑ CVP ↑↑ PCWP ↓ (PE/PTX) PAP ↑↑ (PE)

MIXED / COMPLEX

  • Sepsis + relative hypovolaemia
  • PE + RV failure → ↓LV preload
  • MH: distributive + metabolic
  • Post-CPB: vasoplegia + stunning
HR Variable CO Variable SVR Variable TTE required

NEUROGENIC

  • High cervical SCI (≥T6)
  • Brainstem herniation (late)
  • High spinal / epidural block
HR ↓ (brady) CO SVR ↓↓ Skin Warm/dry